Posts tagged Ed Balls
New Parliamentary boundaries in Leeds
The proposed new Parliamentary boundaries are published tomorrow, but the report has already been leaked (Guido was the fastest to publish it). In Leeds the changes are dramatic with most constituencies looking entirely new.
Leeds North: consisting of Chapel Allerton from the old Leeds North East; Headingley and Weetwood from the old Leeds North West;, Hyde Park and Woodhouse from Leeds Central; and Kirkstall from Leeds West. Looks like a straight fight between Labour and the Lib Dems. The Lib Dem contender is almost certain to be Greg Mulholland while the the Labour contender is most likely to be somebody new. It’s a winnable Labour seat and the most likely Labour contender could be Fabian Hamilton, even though it only contains one ward from Leeds North East, as it is probably more winnable than Leeds North West and Nidderdale.
Leeds North East: contains none of the old Leeds North East, but instead is made up mainly of the old Leeds East wards of Crossgates and Whinmoor, Gipton and Harehills, Killingbeck and Seacroft; with the addition of Harewood and Wetherby from the old Elmet and Rothwell constituency. This is a harder one to call because of disproportionate turnouts – the strong Conservative wards of Harewood and Wetherby both have really high voter turnout, while the Labour wards have historically low turnouts. a straight fight between Labour and the Tories. The obvious contender for Labour is George Mudie, except he’s likely to stand down so we have a winnable marginal Labour seat up for grabs. The Conservative is likely to be Alex Shelbrooke the current MP for Elmet and Rothwell.
Leeds North West and Nidderdale: is only partially a Leeds seat as it contains a great chunk of Harrogate. The Leeds wards are Adel and Wharfdale from the old Leeds North West; the remainder are from the old Leeds North East and are Alwoodley, Moortown and Roundhay. This could be a three way fight, which with the current performance of the Lib Dems effectively means it will be Labour versus a Tory, but with a distinct Conservative lead.
Leeds South and Outwood: is made up of both Leeds and Wakefield wards. From Leeds Central there is Middleton Park along with City and Hunslet; from Morley and Outwood there is Ardsley and Robin Hood in Leeds with Stanley and Outwood East and Wrenthorpe and Outwood from West from Wakefield. Looks like a safe Labour seat, but for who? It could be either Hilary Benn from Leeds Central (a constituency that disappears entirely) or Ed Balls from Morley and Outwood. My money is on Hilary Benn.
Leeds South West and Morley: is mainly Leeds, but also gains Batley East from Batley and Spen constituency. It also has Beeston and Holbeck from Leeds Central; Farnley and Wortley from Leeds West; as well as Morley North and Morley South from Morley and Outwood. Should be another safe Labour seat. The logical approach would surely be Ed Balls here.
Leeds South East: consists of Burmantofts and Richmond Hill from Leeds Central; Garforth and Swillington, Kippax and Methley and Rothwell from Elmet and Rothwell; and Temple Newsam from Leeds East. This should be a safe Labour seat, but without an obvious candidate as George Mudie from Leeds East is unlikely to stand and it only has one ward from Hilary Benn’s Leeds Central. The three Elmet and Rothwell wards are currently represented by Conservative Alex Shelbrooke, but he’s far more likely to want to follow the Wetherby and Harewood bits of his constituency as he’d have zero chance in Leeds South East.
Leeds West and Pudsey: contains Armley, and Bramley and Stanningley from Leeds West; Calverley and Farsley, and Pudsey from the old Pudsey constituency; and Eccleshill from Bradford East. Should be another good Labour seat and the obvious contender is probably Rachel Reeves.
Guiseley and Yeadon: is a mix of Bradford and Leeds wards. From the old Pudsey constituency there is Guiseley and Rawdon, and Horsforth; from Leeds North West there is Otley and Yeadon; from Bradford West there is Baildon, and Idle and Thackley. This is likely to be a Conservative seat.
Based on my initial thinking this would leave the Leeds MPs standing in the following new seats:
Hilary Benn: Leeds South and Outwood
Ed Balls: Leeds South West and Morley
Rachel Reeves: Leeds West and Pudsey
Fabian Hamilton: Leeds North
George Mudie: Leeds North East, but is more likely to stand down
That means there could be two very winnable Labour seats up for grabs in Leeds and one potentially winnable seat. Leeds South East which has to be totally open as it doesn’t have a sitting or even recently defeated Labour MP in any of its wards. And Leeds North East where the sitting MP is almost certain not to stand again.
Yorkshire and Humber MPs dominate Labour’s new shadow cabinet
Not only does Labour Party’s new leader represent a Yorkshire constituency, but nine of the new shadow cabinet do as well. Doncaster is particularly well represented with all three of its MPs in the shadow cabinet.
What’s most impressive to me is how well Ed Miliband has deployed the team he’s been handed by the PLP election.
Caroline Flint is ideal for communities and local government where some radical thinking is certainly required. It requires someone who isn’t afraid to court unpopularity amongst the more recalcitrant members of the Labour Party who simply want to maintain the status quo.
Alan Johnson will be the ideal foil to George Osbourne. As rich boy George attacks the poor, weak and vulnerable, Alan will be the perfect voice of reason on the side of people like us, while George backs the rich.
Just like his dad, Hilary Benn is a great speaker and is well suited to his new role.
Yvette Cooper well deserves one of the great offices of state and her new role is a great platform for her.
Mary Creagh is the least well-known of the new shadow cabinet and has never even held ministerial office. However, as a backbench MP she has an excellent track record of campaigning including on junk food. That’s why I think her new role is the right one.
I know all bar one, and have worked closely with many, of the new team. The only one of the ten I don’t know is John Healey.
The full list of Labour Party shadow cabinet in Yorkshire and Humber is:
Don Valley: Caroline Flint MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government: www.carolineflint.co.uk
Doncaster Central: Rosie Winterton MP; Chief Whip: www.rosiewinterton.co.uk
Doncaster North: Ed Miliband MP; Leader of the Opposition: www.edmiliband.org.uk
Hemsworth: Jon Trickett MP; Shadow Minister of State for the Cabinet Office: www.jontrickett.org.uk
(Jon isn’t a full member, but will attend shadow cabinet meetings)
Kingston-upon-Hull West & Hessle: Alan Johnson MP; Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer: www.alanjohnson.org
Leeds Central: Hilary Benn MP; Shadow Leader of the House of Commons: www.hilarybenn.org
Morley & Outwood: Ed Balls MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Home Affairs: www.edballs.com
Normanton, Pontefract & Castleford: Yvette Cooper MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs and Shadow Minister for Women and Equalities: www.yvettecooper.com
Wakefield: Mary Creagh MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs: www.marycreagh.co.uk
Wentworth and Dearne: John Healey MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Health: www.johnhealeymp.co.uk
Labour leadership election – I still don’t know how to vote
My ballot paper(s) for the Labour leadership election have finally arrived, but I still can’t decide how to vote.
My first preference is easy: Andy Burnham. In terms of how good they will be for the future of the Labour Party and the country, none of them are even half as good as Andy.
Andy is the candidate who best represents the vast majority of people in this country. He is the only candidate who can truly understand and has appeal to Labour’s ‘traditional’ core vote, but also to the people who decide election – that elusive ‘middle class’ swing vote.
He is the only candidate who represents the future and not the past.
Now for my second preference. Let’s start with the two candidates who I believe would be an absolute disaster for the Labour Party and consign us to electoral oblivion, not just for the next election, but potentially for ever.
Diane Abbott offers the party very little. Certainly she has enlivened the debate, but you can’t see her as a potential leader. She’s has 20+ years as a backbencher where she could have demonstrated her ability. She hasn’t. For that reason Diane, you’re out.
David Miliband. Out of the five contenders David would be the worst possible winner. The fact that he has a chance is what makes him so damned dangerous. He would spell electoral oblivion. He has totally failed to display any reasonable vision for the future of our party.
During the campaign I’ve also had a good few opportunities to see all five of the candidates up close in the ‘green room’ and mingling with members at numerous hustings. The problem is that David doesn’t strike me as a person I could ever like or trust. His whole body language, actual language and demeanour reeks of arrogance and contempt. He might represent a North East seat and have once live as a tiny child in Leeds, but his heart and mind is still stuck firmly in Primrose Hill. He doesn’t really understand the 90% of the UK outside of metropolitan London (I doubt he even understands most of inner-city multi-cultural London).
I don’t see any genuine passion or compassion, for him it’s simply the next career step in his great political game. The Labour Party is too important to the future of the people of Britain to let David break it.
David is seen as the Blairite candiate, and many people see me as more Blairite than Brownite (I see myself simply as true Labour), so he should be my natural choice. And indeed early on David was my second preference, until I realised how truly disastrous he really would be.
All David offers us is all of the worst of New Labour, with none of the best of New Labour. David, you’re no Tony Blair.
That leaves me with Ed and Ed.
Ed Balls. Ed B started as the candidate who I thought never, ever. But… during the campaign he’s the candidate, after Andy, who has impressed me the most. Ed B has fought a brilliant campaign. He’s not been afraid to tell it like it is and has landed some brilliant blows on the Condem coalition. Ed B and Andy have been the only two contenders to focus their attack on this despicable government, the brothers Miliband spending far much time attacking each other and other candidates.
Based on his performance during the campaign then Ed Balls would be my second preference. But, and this is a huge but, can and should Labour Party members forgive him for his behaviour over the last few years? I’m not sure we should yet. Perhaps it might be better to see Ed B retire to the sidelines for a while and not take one of the big shadow cabinet jobs, but to take a lead in touring the country talking to members to make sure that Labour develops new policies that are consistent with our values and the needs of the country. Ed might not be our next leader, but who knows after that. If David wins then he won’t last more than one term, if that, and whatever is left of the party will need someone to try and save it from David’s destruction. That might be Ed Balls.
Finally Ed Miliband. Ed M is an enigma. If he’s truly ‘Red Ed’ and a slave to the unions as the right wing press would have us believe then he shouldn’t appeal to me at all. The unions are vital partners in the Labour Party, they don’t own it or control it. I think the donations he’s received from the unions to attempt to ‘buy’ the leadership are disgraceful. But, I can see that when it was offered he had to take it, you need it to win it. It’s not Ed’s fault that this contest is so unfair.
His main flaw is the same as brother David, he doesn’t really understand the real world and is stuck within the mindset of the Primrose Hill London elite. I heard Ed M give a hustings answer about buses, which he tried to illustrate with an example from his constituency. But all it did is illustrate his extremely flaky grasp of what life really is like for most people. There is no way Andy or Ed Balls would have been so out of touch with local constituency issues. Where Ed M is better than David is that at least he appears to be partially ‘human’ – I’ve heard it quipped that Ed M could be “David’s representative on earth”.
Ed M has also been the candidate that has been fastest to ‘appropriate’ other candidates ideas and lines. He quite clearly will do anything to win. And that perhaps is one of his strengths. Under the Condems Britain is going to hell and we need a leader who will win. Perhaps Ed is that person.
So supporters of Ed Balls and Ed Milliband, here’s your chance – pitch me as to why I should give my second preference to your man.
Labour Party renewal – what next?
As I’m getting over my disappointment that Alan Johnson won’t run for Labour leader I’m pondering what the future holds and how we can use the next few years to renew, regroup and refresh ourselves.
Firstly, we need a long leadership election. We don’t need to be hasty, Harriet will make a fine interim leader. My personal preference is for a leader that isn’t overly associated with the old Brownite/Blairite factional slips, which was always bigger in the media than it was in reality.
In opposition Labour can afford to have a vigorous and exciting policy debate that reminds us of our core values enshrined in the new Clause 4 of our rule book.
But, we shouldn’t stop at policy. Before we can do that properly I seriously believe we need root and branch reform of the Labour Party itself. We’re still based on party structure that has hardly changed for over a 100 years. This needs to change, to change fundamentally. We must question the very existence of branches, constituency parties, district parties, regional boards, the National Policy Forum and the NEC.
As for who to support as leader, I think it’s fool-hardy to start backing potential leaders before any have even officially declared. However, I can easily rule out Ed Balls for two reasons.
First and foremost he is far too divisive a figure and responsible for far too much that has gone wrong in the Labour Party. He simply cannot represent a fresh start for the party.
His style of politics, shown time and time again in TV interviews and speeches, is that of the playground bully. The problem with the Labour Party over the last few years, wasn’t just Brown, it was Balls.
Ed Balls represents the politics of the Twentieth Century, to borrow a slogan from the past we need to go forward, not back.
Secondly on a more mundane note, his majority is far to slim. We can not have a leader that will be subject to another ‘castration’ strategy. A new voting system won’t help Ed and a leader can’t do a chicken run.
In the absence of Alan Johnson on the ballot paper I’d like to see a candidate who will offer the party that opportunity for a totally fresh start and is open to embracing new ideas that emerge, not being hidebound or associated with policies from the past.
UPDATE:
If we didn’t win with the organ grinder, we won’t with the monkey. RT @stuartbruce: Labour Party renewal Not Ed Balls. http://bit.ly/bncgM6
Labour’s negotiating team with the Liberal Democrats – why Ed Balls?
Labour’s team to negotiate with the Liberal Democrats isn’t exactly overwhelming.
Lord Mandelson I can understand. His cabinet position, his breadth of experience and the key role he has played in the last two years all mean he should be in the room.
Harriet Harman, not my favourite Labour politician, has earned the right to be at the table as she was elected to the role of Deputy Leader.
Lord Adonis as an ex Liberal Democrat who is now a senior Labour figure can provide a unique insight and help to find common ground.
Ed Miliband was the architect of Labour’s manifesto, so if we’re going to be negotiating changes is the obvious choice.
But why is Ed Balls on the team? I can’t think of a cabinet member less well qualified than Balls to be on the team. It can’t be his cabinet position, as education and families isn’t one of the huge areas of difference between Labour and the Liberal Democrats. It shouldn’t be that he’s a close confidant of Gordon Brown, as Ed Miliband can fulfil that role. What else could Ed be there for?
Can anyone enlighten me?

