Labour Party

How do you think Ed Miliband is doing?

Today I met a Labour Party friend who we’re doing a bit of consultancy work with. Every time we have a business meeting we also have a quick chat as he asks me how do you think Ed’s doing? He was a supporter of Ed Miliband in the Labour leadership election, while I actually worked for Andy Burnham.

Personally I think Ed’s still struggling to get traction. He’s mainly saying and doing the right things, but he’s just not getting the cut through that Labour needs. The main message that’s failing to hit home is one that starts to demonstrate Labour’s economic competence. Ed has already told us in explicit terms that he won’t oppose every cut. But that message is failing miserably to get through. The message that is coming through far stronger is the other Ed saying that we shouldn’t cut so deep, so fast. He’s right of course, but that needs to be balanced with a recognition that some cuts are needed.

Even if Ed is succeeding in keeping his Shadow Cabinet in check, which I’m not sure he is, the message on the ground from constituency MPs is to oppose every cut. All over the country you get MPs and councillors jumping onto the anti-cuts band wagon supporting every local campaign group opposing every single cut.

Frankly it’s not credible and makes Labour look incredibly out of touch with what real people are saying.

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Yorkshire and Humber MPs dominate Labour’s new shadow cabinet

Not only does Labour Party’s new leader represent a Yorkshire constituency, but nine of the new shadow cabinet do as well. Doncaster is particularly well represented with all three of its MPs in the shadow cabinet.

What’s most impressive to me is how well Ed Miliband has deployed the team he’s been handed by the PLP election.

Caroline Flint is ideal for communities and local government where some radical thinking is certainly required. It requires someone who isn’t afraid to court unpopularity amongst the more recalcitrant members of the Labour Party who simply want to maintain the status quo.

Alan Johnson will be the ideal foil to George Osbourne. As rich boy George attacks the poor, weak and vulnerable, Alan will be the perfect voice of reason on the side of people like us, while George backs the rich.

Just like his dad, Hilary Benn is a great speaker and is well suited to his new role.

Yvette Cooper well deserves one of the great offices of state and her new role is a great platform for her.

Mary Creagh is the least well-known of the new shadow cabinet and has never even held ministerial office. However, as a backbench MP she has an excellent track record of campaigning including on junk food. That’s why I think her new role is the right one.

I know all bar one, and have worked closely with many, of the new team. The only one of the ten I don’t know is John Healey.

The full list of Labour Party shadow cabinet in Yorkshire and Humber is:

Don Valley: Caroline Flint MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Communities and Local Government: www.carolineflint.co.uk

Doncaster Central: Rosie Winterton MP; Chief Whip: www.rosiewinterton.co.uk

Doncaster North: Ed Miliband MP; Leader of the Opposition: www.edmiliband.org.uk

Hemsworth: Jon Trickett MP; Shadow Minister of State for the Cabinet Office: www.jontrickett.org.uk
(Jon isn’t a full member, but will attend shadow cabinet meetings)

Kingston-upon-Hull West & Hessle: Alan Johnson MP; Shadow Chancellor of the Exchequer: www.alanjohnson.org

Leeds Central: Hilary Benn MP; Shadow Leader of the House of Commons: www.hilarybenn.org

Morley & Outwood: Ed Balls MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Home Affairs: www.edballs.com

Normanton, Pontefract & Castleford: Yvette Cooper MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Foreign and Commonwealth Affairs and Shadow Minister for Women and Equalities: www.yvettecooper.com

Wakefield: Mary Creagh MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs: www.marycreagh.co.uk

Wentworth and Dearne: John Healey MP; Shadow Secretary of State for Health: www.johnhealeymp.co.uk

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Labour leadership – the two nightmare scenarios

Now that it’s all done bar the counting I want to share my fear about what is about to happen to the Labour Party. My big fear is that whichever Miliband brother wins, it will be because of a seriously flawed electoral process. This leadership contest has for me shown without a shadow of a doubt that Labour’s rules for the contest need to be fundamentally revised.

The two nightmare scenarios for me are:

1) David Miliband wins, but only because of the strength of his MP support and loses the union section, and probably even the membership section.

2) Ed Miliband wins because he overwhelmingly carries the union and membership section, but loses the MP one.

Either scenario means that we’ve got a leader who will from day one lack some credibility and find it far harder to to unify the party and take it in a brave new direction.

My personal view is that MPs have far too great a say in the leadership election. It is absolutely right that MPs have a big say as a leader must command the respect of his/her colleagues. But currently MPs have two big says – they control the shortlist and each individual vote carries massive individual weight in the actual election.

One of the two has to be curtailed. Personally, I’m happy for MPs to control the short listing and the current threshold is about right. However, nominations should be anonymous. MPs mustn’t feel threatened in to supporting a particular candidate because of fears over their future career prospects. That type of bullying fear-filled electoral practice is for the 20th century, not the 21st.

That means however that MPs should be stripped of most of their voting power, perhaps reducing them to just 10% of the electoral college. They’ve had their say and kept anyone totally unsuitable off the shortlist, so it’s up to grassroots members to have the final say.

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Labour leadership election – I still don’t know how to vote

My ballot paper(s) for the Labour leadership election have finally arrived, but I still can’t decide how to vote.

My first preference is easy: Andy Burnham. In terms of how good they will be for the future of the Labour Party and the country, none of them are even half as good as Andy.

Andy is the candidate who best represents the vast majority of people in this country. He is the only candidate who can truly understand and has appeal to Labour’s ‘traditional’ core vote, but also to the people who decide election – that elusive ‘middle class’ swing vote.

He is the only candidate who represents the future and not the past.

Now for my second preference. Let’s start with the two candidates who I believe would be an absolute disaster for the Labour Party and consign us to electoral oblivion, not just for the next election, but potentially for ever.

Diane Abbott offers the party very little. Certainly she has enlivened the debate, but you can’t see her as a potential leader. She’s has 20+ years as a backbencher where she could have demonstrated her ability. She hasn’t. For that reason Diane, you’re out.

David Miliband. Out of the five contenders David would be the worst possible winner. The fact that he has a chance is what makes him so damned dangerous. He would spell electoral oblivion. He has totally failed to display any reasonable vision for the future of our party.

During the campaign I’ve also had a good few opportunities to see all five of the candidates up close in the ‘green room’ and mingling with members at numerous hustings. The problem is that David doesn’t strike me as a person I could ever like or trust. His whole body language, actual language and demeanour reeks of arrogance and contempt. He might represent a North East seat and have once live as a tiny child in Leeds, but his heart and mind is still stuck firmly in Primrose Hill. He doesn’t really understand the 90% of the UK outside of metropolitan London (I doubt he even understands most of inner-city multi-cultural London).

I don’t see any genuine passion or compassion, for him it’s simply the next career step in his great political game. The Labour Party is too important to the future of the people of Britain to let David break it.

David is seen as the Blairite candiate, and many people see me as more Blairite than Brownite (I see myself simply as true Labour), so he should be my natural choice. And indeed early on David was my second preference, until I realised how truly disastrous he really would be.

All David offers us is all of the worst of New Labour, with none of the best of New Labour. David, you’re no Tony Blair.

That leaves me with Ed and Ed.

Ed Balls. Ed B started as the candidate who I thought never, ever. But… during the campaign he’s the candidate, after Andy, who has impressed me the most. Ed B has fought a brilliant campaign. He’s not been afraid to tell it like it is and has landed some brilliant blows on the Condem coalition. Ed B and Andy have been the only two contenders to focus their attack on this despicable government, the brothers Miliband spending far much time attacking each other and other candidates.

Based on his performance during the campaign then Ed Balls would be my second preference. But, and this is a huge but, can and should Labour Party members forgive him for his behaviour over the last few years? I’m not sure we should yet. Perhaps it might be better to see Ed B retire to the sidelines for a while and not take one of the big shadow cabinet jobs, but to take a lead in touring the country talking to members to make sure that Labour develops new policies that are consistent with our values and the needs of the country. Ed might not be our next leader, but who knows after that. If David wins then he won’t last more than one term, if that, and whatever is left of the party will need someone to try and save it from David’s destruction. That might be Ed Balls.

Finally Ed Miliband. Ed M is an enigma. If he’s truly ‘Red Ed’ and a slave to the unions as the right wing press would have us believe then he shouldn’t appeal to me at all. The unions are vital partners in the Labour Party, they don’t own it or control it. I think the donations he’s received from the unions to attempt to ‘buy’ the leadership are disgraceful. But, I can see that when it was offered he had to take it, you need it to win it. It’s not Ed’s fault that this contest is so unfair.

His main flaw is the same as brother David, he doesn’t really understand the real world and is stuck within the mindset of the Primrose Hill London elite. I heard Ed M give a hustings answer about buses, which he tried to illustrate with an example from his constituency. But all it did is illustrate his extremely flaky grasp of what life really is like for most people. There is no way Andy or Ed Balls would have been so out of touch with local constituency issues. Where Ed M is better than David is that at least he appears to be partially ‘human’ – I’ve heard it quipped that Ed M could be “David’s representative on earth”.

Ed M has also been the candidate that has been fastest to ‘appropriate’ other candidates ideas and lines. He quite clearly will do anything to win. And that perhaps is one of his strengths. Under the Condems Britain is going to hell and we need a leader who will win. Perhaps Ed is that person.

So supporters of Ed Balls and Ed Milliband, here’s your chance – pitch me as to why I should give my second preference to your man.

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In this election I’m backing…

I’ve had quite a few people asking who I’m backing in this vital election.

To eliminate any doubt I just want to confirm that my candidate is…

Luke Akehurst for Labour’s NEC

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Labour Party renewal – what next?

As I’m getting over my disappointment that Alan Johnson won’t run for Labour leader I’m pondering what the future holds and how we can use the next few years to renew, regroup and refresh ourselves.

Firstly, we need a long leadership election. We don’t need to be hasty, Harriet will make a fine interim leader. My personal preference is for a leader that isn’t overly associated with the old Brownite/Blairite factional slips, which was always bigger in the media than it was in reality.

In opposition Labour can afford to have a vigorous and exciting policy debate that reminds us of our core values enshrined in the new Clause 4 of our rule book.

But, we shouldn’t stop at policy. Before we can do that properly I seriously believe we need root and branch reform of the Labour Party itself. We’re still based on party structure that has hardly changed for over a 100 years. This needs to change, to change fundamentally. We must question the very existence of branches, constituency parties, district parties, regional boards, the National Policy Forum and the NEC.

As for who to support as leader, I think it’s fool-hardy to start backing potential leaders before any have even officially declared. However, I can easily rule out Ed Balls for two reasons.

First and foremost he is far too divisive a figure and responsible for far too much that has gone wrong in the Labour Party. He simply cannot represent a fresh start for the party.

His style of politics, shown time and time again in TV interviews and speeches, is that of the playground bully. The problem with the Labour Party over the last few years, wasn’t just Brown, it was Balls.

Ed Balls represents the politics of the Twentieth Century, to borrow a slogan from the past we need to go forward, not back.

Secondly on a more mundane note, his majority is far to slim. We can not have a leader that will be subject to another ‘castration’ strategy. A new voting system won’t help Ed and a leader can’t do a chicken run.

In the absence of Alan Johnson on the ballot paper I’d like to see a candidate who will offer the party that opportunity for a totally fresh start and is open to embracing new ideas that emerge, not being hidebound or associated with policies from the past.

UPDATE:


If we didn’t win with the organ grinder, we won’t with the monkey. RT @stuartbruce: Labour Party renewal Not Ed Balls. http://bit.ly/bncgM6less than a minute ago via Echofon

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Labour’s negotiating team with the Liberal Democrats – why Ed Balls?

Labour’s team to negotiate with the Liberal Democrats isn’t exactly overwhelming.

Lord Mandelson I can understand. His cabinet position, his breadth of experience and the key role he has played in the last two years all mean he should be in the room.

Harriet Harman, not my favourite Labour politician, has earned the right to be at the table as she was elected to the role of Deputy Leader.

Lord Adonis as an ex Liberal Democrat who is now a senior Labour figure can provide a unique insight and help to find common ground.

Ed Miliband was the architect of Labour’s manifesto, so if we’re going to be negotiating changes is the obvious choice.

But why is Ed Balls on the team? I can’t think of a cabinet member less well qualified than Balls to be on the team. It can’t be his cabinet position, as education and families isn’t one of the huge areas of difference between Labour and the Liberal Democrats. It shouldn’t be that he’s a close confidant of Gordon Brown, as Ed Miliband can fulfil that role. What else could Ed be there for?

Can anyone enlighten me?

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Gordon Brown email to Labour Party members

Stuart

I wanted to explain to you the decision I have taken today.

I have said since Friday that it is crucial that this country, which I love so dearly, has a principled and strong government that can meet the challenge of securing the recovery and changing our politics.

As we know, the Liberal Democrats felt that they should first talk to the Conservative Party. Mr Clegg has just informed me this afternoon that he intends to continue those discussions and now wants to open up formal discussions with the Labour Party. I think it is sensible that we respond positively.

It is clear to me that there is a progressive majority in Britain and I believe it could be in the interests of the whole country to form a progressive coalition government. If the national interest can be served by such a coalition then I should discharge the duty to form that government.

But I have no desire to stay in my position longer than is needed to ensure that the path to progress is assured. The reason we have a hung Parliament is that no single party and no single leader was able to win the full support of the country. As the leader of this great party, I must accept that is a judgement on me.

Therefore I intend to ask the Labour Party to set in train the process needed for a leadership election. I would hope for a leader to be in place by Labour Party conference. I will play no part in that contest and will back no individual candidate.

Once again can I thank you for your unstinting help and commitment to this wonderful party. Sarah and I appreciate the kindness you have shown us over the years.

I will of course stay in contact with you over the coming weeks and months.

Yours sincerely

Gordon Brown

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Cameron and Brown rejected by the people – what next?

The nation has spoken. It is crying out for change, but not the change offered by Cameron’s Conservatives. The Tories have been clearly rejected with the overwhelming majority of the country saying no to its manifesto for change. The Tories can’t claim this as anything but a defeat.

But let’s be fair, Gordon Brown has also been rejected. Labour can’t claim this as anything but a defeat. The people haven’t rejected Labour, but neither have they given Brown a ringing endorsement.

Nick Clegg’s Liberal Democrats are in a more of a mixed position. They’ve an overwhelming right to scream about the unfairness of the system. A massive six million plus votes and just over 50 seats just isn’t morally right.

Everyone is speculating as to what will happen next.

What is constitutionally correct? Gordon Brown continues as Prime Minister until May 25 and tries to form a Government with the support of minority parties, including the Lib Dems.

What is morally correct? The problem with what is constitutionally correct, is that it isn’t morally right. Neither Cameron or Brown have the moral right to govern.

What is politically possible? Who knows? Clegg doesn’t look likely to do a deal with Brown, but practically Labour needs weeks if not months to change it’s leader. Cameron might try to stage an electoral coup and attempt a minority government, even though the Tory manifesto has been resoundly rejected.

My solution? Gordon Brown should seize the moral high ground and do the following:

  1. Announce that he doesn’t have the moral right to govern.
  2. Ask Cameron to form a government…
  3. … on the condition that before the end of the year we have a referendum on electoral reform. Cameron can continue to oppose a more democratic voting system and cling to the status quo, but he’s got to give the people the opportunity to decide. Not him.
  4. And that on the new system (or old if that’s what people want) we have a new election before the end of June next year.

Cameron will then be faced with a choice. He can put Britain first, or he can put his party first. Brown will already have shown that he puts Britain first, can Cameron match him? I doubt it. That gives Brown the moral authority to remain as Prime Minister and do exactly what I’ve outlined – have a referendum and new election. He can then get on tackling sorting out the economy and the other important business of government.

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Vote Labour – my personal plea

I’ve campaigned for Labour in every election since 1987. But this time is different. In every other election I hoped that Labour would win, I was disappointed, shocked, gutted when we didn’t win in 1987 and 1992. But that’s as far as it went.

But this time it’s different. This time it’s far more emotional and personal. Because this time I’m responsible for people.

  • I’ve got a daughter who’s almost three and I’m sick to the pit of my stomach with fear for her future if the Tories win. But my fear isn’t just for her, it’s for every other child in the country whose lives will be blighted by the Tories.
  • I’ve got a team of brilliant young people that I employ and am responsible for. I’m terrified for their future if the Tories win. I’m terrified how Tory economic policies will devastate small businesses and force thousands of us out of business, just like in the 80s. I don’t want my young people to suffer that trauma.
  • I’ve got a father-in-law living in a great care home. I’m terrified what will happen to him if the Tories win. From Tory and Tory/Lib Dem councils around the country we’ve already seen how they deliberately attack the most vulnerable in society by closing homes and viciously cutting home care services.

Quite simply I’m terrified of the Tories and how they’ll govern to benefit the few, while the rest of the country can go to hell.

Growing up in the 80s I’ve had personal experience of just how bad it is to suffer under the misery of a Tory government. I remember:

  • being taught in schools with classrooms where the roof leaked, where classrooms were Portacabins in the playground, where we didn’t have enough teachers.
  • people waiting over a year for hospital appointments, not just weeks.
  • when people were scared of the police who the Tories were trying to turn into a political tool to attack the miners and working people.
  • when Tory ministers celebrated the fact that a pregnant woman was handcuffed to her hospital bed
  • when people were losing their homes and jobs, because of extortionate 15% interest rates.

It scares me that young people I talk to don’t know just how terrible the Tories really are. They never lived through the sheer misery of a government with the core principles of selfishness and greed.

And the truth is even if you believe in Compassionate Cameron, it’s still the same old nasty Tory Party that he leads. Tony Blair was a true leader and took on Labour Party members to reclaim it and take it back to its founding principles, rejecting the left-wing doctrines that had polluted Labour’s original philosophies.

Cameron hasn’t done this. There can only be three reasons:

  1. Cameron is lying and doesn’t really believe his compassionate Conservatism, it’s just a ruse to seize power. I used to believe Dave and think he had changed, just not his party. Now, I’m not so sure. Maybe I’ve been conned by Cameron.
  2. Cameron is too scared to take on his own members. He doesn’t have the courage for the job. You have to ask if he can’t lead a political party, how can he lead a country?
  3. Cameron isn’t capable of taking on his own members. He’s just not bright enough. You have to ask if he can’t lead a political party, how can he lead a country?

So I urge you, if you do one thing today then vote to stop the Tories plunging Britain into misery.

Vote to ensure that the UK gets true electoral reform as advocated by Labour and the Liberal Democrats, not the gerrymandering, vote-rigging proposed by Cameron.

UPDATE: A few typos helpfully corrected by @karenbruce, my lesson is more haste less speed!

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